Scenarios and Strategic Planning
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Discerning driving forces and development of scenarios as they shape the world
Members: 7
Latest Activity: Oct. 25, 2008
Let's just do one!
Part 1
Walking two different paths for answering a fundamental challenge: How to whittle the virtually infinite number of possible futures that could be described down to a manageable three or four plots that will shed the most light on our futures.- Participants are members of this group
- Decision Focus
- Brainstorming Key Factors
- Pre-determined Elements
Part 2
Adressing the inverse question: Beefing up the in Part 1 chosen skeletal scenarios to discover the insights we need.- Systems Thinking
- How Diagramming of Effects works?
- Earth is not a closed system we know too well
- Marshes
- Global climate change agreements
- Effects of global warming on humans
- Economic and social systems thinking underway ...
- Building Narratives
- Characters
- Typical Plots - for getting started
- Winners and Losers
- Crisis and Response
- Good News Bad News
- My Revolution Space plots
- ...
Part 3
Insights gained from our scenario planning.- Insights Gained
On Scenario Planning
Some pages with concepts
- Plotting Your Scenarios: An Introduction to the Art and Process of Scenario Planning, by Jay Ogilvy and Peter Schwartz, and
- The Effective Use of Scenario Analysis to Support R&D by Gerald Harris and Peter Schwartz.
From scenario thinking to strategic action, by Ian Wilson of Wolf Enterprises. The basics of scenario planning (as compared to traditional planning) in a business environment.
How to build scenarios by Lawrence Wilkinson. An example of driving forces and development of scenarios as they shape the technological world. Colourful site, in more ways than one.
Scenario planning – your key to the future, by the Graduate School of Business, Curtin University, Australia. Short, readable introduction to scenario planning (pdf document).
Visioning in planning: is the practice based on sound theory? by Robert Shipley. Downloadable paper from Environment and Planning, Vol 34, January 2002.
Some more complete guides
Visions actions and requests across administrative levels; A methodological proposal for strategic planning in territorial development. Report on methodology and visioning tools by Natalie Beaulieu, CIAT and Montpellier 2002 (pdf).
Discussion Forum
Decision Focus 2 Replies
We identify a key decision that we face, discuss it, and develop a clear understanding of useful questions to ask about that decision. To get to a key decision in a next scenario planning, we can ...
Tagged: explorative questions, decision focus, scenario planning
Started by Nynke Etk Fokma. Last reply by Nynke Etk Fokma Oct. 25, 2008.
Army Unit to Deploy in October for Domestic Operations? 1 Reply
Oh, sjeeesj. I'd like to see this corroborated by another source... Seen it linked at least three times now ...
Tagged: domestic operations, army unit
Started by Nynke Etk Fokma. Last reply by Nynke Etk Fokma Sep. 25, 2008.
Plausible Futures
This film briefly examines the directions into which the world might be heading.
Tagged: plausible futures, scenario planning
Started by Nynke Etk Fokma Aug. 7, 2008.
The plan to "save the world"
Update Sunday 9/21 (From: 10 Reasons to be Cautious About This Housing Rescue Plan for Motherland USA): The plan was leaked this weekend and the details are extraordinary. Under section 8: Is ther...
Tagged: economic crisis, plan, saving the world
Started by Nynke Etk Fokma Sep. 25, 2008.
Brainstorming Key Factors
This brainstorming revolves around identifying driving forces and key trends in (at least) five general categories. Note: Do not disparage or discard each others ideas. Just keep listing. We can p...
Tagged: economic, environmental, political, technological, social
Started by Nynke Etk Fokma Oct. 7, 2008.
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Comment by Nynke Etk Fokma on October 11, 2008 at 2:25am - I have started to brainstorm Key Factors
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Comment by MyRevolutionSpace-Admin on September 25, 2008 at 9:32am - I just wanted to say that this is the best group, not that there has been a lot created to choose from, but this info is necessary and very important, i am glad you are here and that you started this group, thank you!
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Created by MyRevolutionSpace-Admin Aug 7, 2008 at 12:35am. Last updated by MyRevolutionSpace-Admin Sep. 17, 2008.
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